Conflict & DisplacementWorld
Conflict & DisplacementWorldOctober 2026
Uprooted: The Global Displacement Outlook for 2027
For the first time in a decade, the number of people forced from their homes worldwide has fallen, driven by a historic wave of returns. But new emergencies in 2026 and a deep funding shortfall mean the decline is fragile, and 2027 is more likely to bring a plateau than a lasting fall.
Most likely: 115 to 121 million50%
Conflict & DisplacementWorld
Conflict & DisplacementWorldOctober 2026
A World at War? The Global Conflict Outlook for 2027
2025 set a record for the number of armed conflicts involving states, and the number of conflicts between states reached its highest level on record. Several ceasefire and peace tracks are now open, but none is yet settled, so 2027 is most likely to bring a high plateau rather than a clear turn towards peace.
Most likely: 65 to 69 conflicts30%